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Gold rises toward $2,100 on dovish Fed outlook
Gold price gains ground toward $2,100 as the US Dollar extends weakness into early Europe on Thursday. The improved risk appetite due to the potential for rate cuts by the Fed in Q1 2024, is lending support to the bright metal ahead of the US jobs data.
From a short-term technical perspective, Gold price remains exposed to the upside amid bullish indicators.
Gold price broke above the rising trendline resistance at $2,080 but needs a daily closing above the latter to extend the uptrend toward the all-time high of $2,144. Gold buyers will face stiff resistance at the $2,100 and $2,120 levels beforehand.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is pointing north above the midline, adding credence to the latest uptick.
Any pullback in Gold price could meet initial demand at the previous day’s low of $2,061, below which the correction could extend toward the $2,050 round figure.
The last line of defense for Gold buyers is envisioned at the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,035.
Fundamental Overview
Gold price is finding additional support, as the US Dollar meets fresh supply from a risk-on rally in the Asian stock markets. Investors cheer expectations of aggressive interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) next year and pile up on global stocks. Further, China’s pledge to promote stable growth by expanding domestic demand combined with the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) liquidity injections boost risk appetite at the expense of the US Dollar.
Therefore. Gold price continues its upward trajectory toward the $2,100 barrier in Asian trading on Thursday, ignoring the modest rebound in the US Treasury bond yields. At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index is flirting with five-month lows near 100.75 while the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yields bounce off multi-month troughs to trade at 3.81%, up 0.50% on the day.
On Wednesday, full markets returned following an extended Christmas break and cheered Tuesday’s strong US two-year sale and the latest positive auction of $58 billion in five-year notes, which triggered a fresh leg lower in the US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar. The renewed US Dollar sell-off propelled Gold price to post a record close above the $2,070 level on Wednesday.
Markets continued to ramp up demand for stocks and bonds, in anticipation of the potential Fed rate cuts next year, weighing heavily on the US Treasury bond yields.
All eyes now turn toward the mid-tier US Jobless Claims data and the seven-year bond auction due later this Wednesday for a fresh upside boost in Gold price. Meanwhile, Gold traders will also remain cautious of any exaggerated moves, courtesy of the pre-New Year thin liquidity conditions.